Rahul Mehta Gandhinagar LsCandidate
Congress may give away Delhi Assembly 2013, to create image that AAP is anti-Congress and thus win Loksabha-2014
lets compare two possibilities
A) Congress lets AAP get Delhi muslim\slum voters. That would create following scenario . BJP = 35 seats , Congress = 25 seats , AAP = 10 seats , total = 70 seats ; And AAP will abstain in forming Govt and so BJP will get CM-ship.
B) Congress does not let AAP get Delhi muslim\slum voters. That would create following scenario . BJP = 25 seats , Congress = 40 seats , AAP = 5 seats , total = 70 seats ; And Congress will get CM-ship.
In scenario-A, AAP will get reputation of "party which cuts all votes including poor and muslim votes". So in may-2014 loksabha, AAP will get many more Hindu middle class voters. Now in may-2014, AAP wont get even one slum\poor votes. So Congress gains, BJP loses and AAP gains zero seats.
In scenario-B, AAP will get reputation of "party which cuts BJP votes". So in may-2014 loksabha. So AAP will get less Hindu middle class voters. So BJP gains, and Congress loses.
in scenario-A, Congress loses Delhi Assembly but gains Loksabha.
in scenario-B, Congress gains Delhi Assembly but loses Loksabha.
For Congress, scenario-A is profitable.
So there is a real possibility that Congress will ensure that poor/muslim voters vote for AAP. How? By asking Mullah to issue fatwa to vote for AAP and by not doing much campaigning etc in slums.